THE PREDICTION BOARD

NFL predictions.

16 games · Full game

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Advantage model

Default highlights every favorable point difference, with intensity adjusted for the selected period.

Model predictions with FanDuel lines belowOdds updated Sep 24, 2:10 PM

NeutralLeanPlayBest

Best: 4+ pts · Points, not win probability

Fri, Sep 25

Fri, Sep 25, 12:15 AM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+0.1Best +4.4 pts

MODEL45.3Lean +1.8 pts

MODEL22.6Play +3.1 pts

MODEL−0.1No edge

MODEL45.3No edge

MODEL22.7Lean +1.8 pts

ATL 7 / GB 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+5.3Play +2.2 pts

MODEL46.3No edge

MODEL20.5No edge

MODEL−5.3No edge

MODEL46.3Best +4.2 pts

MODEL25.8Play +3.7 pts

LAC 7 / BUF 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−2.6Lean +0.1 pts

MODEL44.2Play +2.7 pts

MODEL23.4Lean +0.9 pts

MODEL+2.6No edge

MODEL44.2No edge

MODEL20.8Lean +0.3 pts

CAR 7 / CLE 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+7.6No edge

MODEL51.1Play +3.6 pts

MODEL21.7Lean +1.2 pts

MODEL−7.6Lean +1.1 pts

MODEL51.1No edge

MODEL29.4Lean +1.9 pts

NYJ 7 / DET 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−7.1Best +4.6 pts

MODEL52.1Best +9.6 pts

MODEL29.6Best +7.1 pts

MODEL+7.1No edge

MODEL52.1No edge

MODEL22.5Play +2.0 pts

HOU 7 / IND 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−4.2No edge

MODEL41.6No edge

MODEL22.9Best +6.6 pts

MODEL+4.2Best +6.3 pts

MODEL41.6Play +3.9 pts

MODEL18.7Play +2.2 pts

KC 7 / MIA 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+3.6No edge

MODEL46.1Best +7.6 pts

MODEL21.2Play +2.7 pts

MODEL−3.6Lean +1.1 pts

MODEL46.1No edge

MODEL24.9Best +4.4 pts

TEN 7 / NYG 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−2No edge

MODEL43.4Lean +0.9 pts

MODEL22.7Lean +0.8 pts

MODEL+2Lean +1.5 pts

MODEL43.4No edge

MODEL20.7Lean +1.2 pts

CIN 7 / PIT 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−9.9Play +2.9 pts

MODEL42.4Lean +1.9 pts

MODEL26.1Lean +1.6 pts

MODEL+9.9No edge

MODEL42.4No edge

MODEL16.3Lean +0.2 pts

SEA 7 / WSH 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+1.7Lean +0.8 pts

MODEL46.7Lean +1.2 pts

MODEL22.5Lean +1.0 pts

MODEL−1.7No edge

MODEL46.7No edge

MODEL24.2Lean +0.3 pts

NE 7 / JAX 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 8:05 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+13.9No edge

MODEL50.1Play +2.6 pts

MODEL18.1Lean +1.4 pts

MODEL−13.9Best +5.4 pts

MODEL50.1No edge

MODEL32.0Play +2.5 pts

ARI 7 / SF 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 8:05 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−7.9Best +6.4 pts

MODEL39.9No edge

MODEL23.9Play +2.4 pts

MODEL+7.9No edge

MODEL39.9Play +2.6 pts

MODEL16.0Best +4.5 pts

MIN 7 / TB 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 8:25 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−5.8Play +2.3 pts

MODEL52.8Lean +0.3 pts

MODEL29.3Lean +1.8 pts

MODEL+5.8No edge

MODEL52.8No edge

MODEL23.5Lean +1.0 pts

BAL 7 / DAL 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Sun, Sep 27, 8:25 PM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL+5.6No edge

MODEL41.4No edge

MODEL17.9Play +2.6 pts

MODEL−5.6Play +2.6 pts

MODEL41.4Play +2.1 pts

MODEL23.5No edge

LV 7 / NO 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Mon, Sep 28

Mon, Sep 28, 12:20 AM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−2.9Lean +0.4 pts

MODEL48.0Play +2.5 pts

MODEL25.4Lean +1.9 pts

MODEL+2.9No edge

MODEL48.0No edge

MODEL22.6Lean +1.1 pts

LAR 7 / DEN 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Tue, Sep 29

Tue, Sep 29, 12:15 AM UTC

TeamSpreadGame totalTeam total

MODEL−0.2No edge

MODEL44.2Play +2.7 pts

MODEL22.2Lean +1.3 pts

MODEL+0.2Best +4.3 pts

MODEL44.2No edge

MODEL22.0Best +4.5 pts

PHI 7 / CHI 7 games · Game total is shared between rows.

Compare the model prediction with the sportsbook line below it. Edge labels show the favorable point difference for that selection. Tap a line to select it, assign units, and submit it to your record.